Savings Rate Going, Going, and Gone....
You can read the AP article at Yahoo News here;
This is one of the topics that no one and I mean no one ever wants to talk about. I have seen pretty smart people, savvy about everything in life, go red in face when this topic is bought up. Apparently we have to add savings to the list of sex, politics and religion as the four topics never to be bought up in casual company.
Here is what I dont understand - May be you can help me and leave me a comment on your thoughts - majority of us know that Social Security and Medicad are pretty much on the verge of failure. The automakers and everybody in their supply chain is desperately looking for a way out of their retirement / pensions obligations. So knowing what everybody knows, how come nobody wants to talk about savings???
Savings Rate at Lowest Level Since 1933 By MARTIN CRUTSINGER, AP Economics Writer Mon Jan 30, 1:13 PM ETAmericans' personal savings rate dipped into negative territory in 2005, something that hasn't happened since the Great Depression. Consumers depleted their savings to finance the purchases of cars and other big-ticket items.
The Commerce Department reported Monday that the savings rate fell into negative territory at minus 0.5 percent, meaning that Americans not only spent all of their after-tax income last year but had to dip into previous savings or increase borrowing.
The savings rate has been negative for an entire year only twice before — in 1932 and 1933 — two years when the country was struggling to cope with the Great Depression, a time of massive business failures and job layoffs.
With employment growth strong now, analysts said that different factors are at play. Americans feel they can spend more, given that the value of their homes, the biggest asset for most families, has been rising sharply in recent years.
But analysts cautioned that this behavior was risky at a time when 78 million Americans are on the verge of retirement.
"Americans seem to have the feeling that it is wimpish to save," said David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poor's in New York. "The idea is to put away money for old age and we are just not doing that."
The Commerce report said that consumer spending for December rose by 0.9 percent, more than double the 0.4 percent increase in incomes last month.
A price gauge that excludes food and energy rose by a tiny 0.1 percent in December, down from a 0.2 percent rise in November. This inflation index linked to consumer spending is closely watched by officials at the Federal Reserve.
The central bank meets on Tuesday, when it is expected it will boost interest rates for a 14th time. However, many economists believe those rate hikes are drawing to a close with perhaps another quarter-point hike at the March 28 meeting as the central bank is starting to see the impact of the previous rate hikes in a slowing economy.
The government reported on Friday that overall economic growth slowed to a 1.1 percent rate in the final three months of the year, the most sluggish pace in three years.
That slowdown was heavily influenced by a big drop for the quarter in spending on new cars, which had surged in the summer as automakers offered attractive sales incentives.
A negative savings rate means that Americans spent all their disposable income, the amount left over after paying taxes, and dipped into their past savings to finance their purchases. For the month, the savings rate fell to 0.7 percent, the largest one-month decline since a 3.4 percent drop in August.
The 0.5 percent negative savings rate for 2005 followed a 1.8 percent rate of savings in 2004. The last negative rates occurred in 1932, a drop of 0.9 percent, and a record 1.5 percent decline in 1933. In those years Americans exhausted their savings to try to meet expenses in the wake of the worst economic crisis in U.S. history.
One major reason that consumers felt confident in spending all of their disposable incomes and dipping into savings last year was that a booming housing market made them feel more wealthy. As their home prices surged at double-digit rates, that created what economists call a "wealth effect" that supported greater spending.
The concern, however, is that the housing boom of the past five years is beginning to quiet down with the rise in mortgage rates. Analysts are closing watching to see whether consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of total economic activity, falters in 2006 as Americans, already carrying heavy debt loads, don't feel as wealthy as the price appreciation of their homes would seem to indicate.
For December, the 0.4 percent rise in incomes was in line with Wall Street expectations. It followed a similar 0.4 percent increase in November, with both months lower than the 0.6 percent rise in October.
The 0.9 percent rise in spending with slightly above the expectation for a 0.8 percent increase and was almost double the 0.5 percent increase in November.
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Comments
Our society is geared to live in the momment. Most of us dont think about retirement until it is too late! Our way of thinking MUST change or most of us will HAVE to do reverse mortgages just to survive! That is assuming, of course, we have our houses paid for!
Posted by: Nick Blackman | January 31, 2006 12:46 PM
I totally agree with Nick.
Social Security doesn't have the degree of problems the Executive branch claims, it had a much larger problem back in the 70's - and a problem that large has to adjust from time to time. So I wouldn't be particularly worried about that aspect - however that money is not enough to live on with the cost of energy and medicine in the future.
I believe the access of easy credit gives a "worry later" attitude and put off things until tomorrow mentality. It's worrisome because the people who are living the "good life" now and not putting anything away will hurt when they need it most - and it will also burden their children who will have to support them (if they HAVE any..)
We really need this stuff taught in schools, it's not cool, it's boring..but even 5 bucks a week over 40 years sure adds up!
Posted by: Jason Windes | February 1, 2006 02:47 AM